Function renderForecastMarkdown

Parameters

• forecast: {
      advisories: {
          acknowledged?: { by: string; note: string; ts: number };
          advisoryId: string;
          category:
              | "DRIFT"
              | "NOTARY"
              | "INTEGRITY"
              | "ANOMALY"
              | "RISK_INDEX"
              | "VALUE_REGRESSION"
              | "GOVERNANCE"
              | "BUDGET";
          createdTs: number;
          evidenceRefs: { eventHashes: string[]; runIds: string[] };
          recommendedNextSteps: string[];
          scope: { id: string; type: "AGENT" | "WORKSPACE" | "NODE" };
          severity: "INFO" | "WARN" | "CRITICAL";
          summary: string;
          whyNow: string[];
      }[];
      anomalies: {
          evidenceRefs: { eventHashes: string[]; runIds: string[] };
          explanationTemplateId: string;
          severity: "INFO" | "WARN" | "CRITICAL";
          type: string;
      }[];
      drift: {
          delta: number;
          evidenceRefs: { eventHashes: string[]; runIds: string[] };
          metricId: string;
          severity: "INFO" | "WARN" | "CRITICAL";
          window: number;
      }[];
      etaToTarget: {
          conservativeDays?: number;
          expectedDays?: number;
          optimisticDays?: number;
          reasons: string[];
          status: "UNKNOWN"
          | "OK";
      };
      evidenceCoverage: {
          attestedShare: number;
          latestCorrelationRatio: number;
          latestIntegrityIndex: number;
          observedRuns: number;
          observedShare: number;
          selfReportedShare: number;
      };
      generatedTs: number;
      horizons: { longDays: number; midDays: number; shortDays: number };
      leadingIndicators: {
          direction: "IMPROVING" | "STABLE" | "WORSENING";
          evidenceRefs: { eventHashes: string[]; runIds: string[] };
          explanationTemplateId: string;
          id: string;
          label: string;
          magnitude: number;
          robustZ: number;
      }[];
      modelVersion: string;
      policySha256: string;
      reasons: string[];
      scope: { id: string; type: "AGENT"
      | "WORKSPACE"
      | "NODE" };
      series: {
          correlationRatio: {
              forecast: {
                  long:
                      | { atTs: number; high: number; low: number; value: number }
                      | null;
                  mid: { atTs: number; high: number; low: number; value: number } | null;
                  short: { atTs: number; high: number; low: number; value: number } | null;
              };
              points: { runId?: string; trustTier?: string; ts: number; value: number }[];
              trend:
                  | {
                      changePoints: {
                          direction: "UP"
                          | "DOWN";
                          magnitude: number;
                          ts: number;
                      }[];
                      ewmaNow: number;
                      intercept: number;
                      outlierCount: number;
                      robustSigma: number;
                      sampleSize: number;
                      slope: number;
                  }
                  | null;
          };
          fourC: {
              Capabilities: {
                  forecast: {
                      long: | { atTs: number; high: number; low: number; value: number }
                      | null;
                      mid: { atTs: number; high: number; low: number; value: number } | null;
                      short:
                          | { atTs: number; high: number; low: number; value: number }
                          | null;
                  };
                  points: {
                      runId?: string;
                      trustTier?: string;
                      ts: number;
                      value: number;
                  }[];
                  trend: | {
                      changePoints: {
                          direction: "UP"
                          | "DOWN";
                          magnitude: number;
                          ts: number;
                      }[];
                      ewmaNow: number;
                      intercept: number;
                      outlierCount: number;
                      robustSigma: number;
                      sampleSize: number;
                      slope: number;
                  }
                  | null;
              };
              Concept: {
                  forecast: {
                      long: | { atTs: number; high: number; low: number; value: number }
                      | null;
                      mid: { atTs: number; high: number; low: number; value: number } | null;
                      short:
                          | { atTs: number; high: number; low: number; value: number }
                          | null;
                  };
                  points: {
                      runId?: string;
                      trustTier?: string;
                      ts: number;
                      value: number;
                  }[];
                  trend: | {
                      changePoints: {
                          direction: "UP"
                          | "DOWN";
                          magnitude: number;
                          ts: number;
                      }[];
                      ewmaNow: number;
                      intercept: number;
                      outlierCount: number;
                      robustSigma: number;
                      sampleSize: number;
                      slope: number;
                  }
                  | null;
              };
              Configuration: {
                  forecast: {
                      long: | { atTs: number; high: number; low: number; value: number }
                      | null;
                      mid: { atTs: number; high: number; low: number; value: number } | null;
                      short:
                          | { atTs: number; high: number; low: number; value: number }
                          | null;
                  };
                  points: {
                      runId?: string;
                      trustTier?: string;
                      ts: number;
                      value: number;
                  }[];
                  trend: | {
                      changePoints: {
                          direction: "UP"
                          | "DOWN";
                          magnitude: number;
                          ts: number;
                      }[];
                      ewmaNow: number;
                      intercept: number;
                      outlierCount: number;
                      robustSigma: number;
                      sampleSize: number;
                      slope: number;
                  }
                  | null;
              };
              Culture: {
                  forecast: {
                      long: | { atTs: number; high: number; low: number; value: number }
                      | null;
                      mid: { atTs: number; high: number; low: number; value: number } | null;
                      short:
                          | { atTs: number; high: number; low: number; value: number }
                          | null;
                  };
                  points: {
                      runId?: string;
                      trustTier?: string;
                      ts: number;
                      value: number;
                  }[];
                  trend: | {
                      changePoints: {
                          direction: "UP"
                          | "DOWN";
                          magnitude: number;
                          ts: number;
                      }[];
                      ewmaNow: number;
                      intercept: number;
                      outlierCount: number;
                      robustSigma: number;
                      sampleSize: number;
                      slope: number;
                  }
                  | null;
              };
          };
          indices: Partial<
              Record<
                  | "EcosystemFocusRisk"
                  | "ClarityPathRisk"
                  | "EconomicSignificanceRisk"
                  | "RiskAssuranceRisk"
                  | "DigitalDualityRisk",
                  {
                      forecast: {
                          long: | { atTs: number; high: number; low: number; value: number }
                          | null;
                          mid: { atTs: number; high: number; low: number; value: number } | null;
                          short:
                              | { atTs: number; high: number; low: number; value: number }
                              | null;
                      };
                      points: {
                          runId?: string;
                          trustTier?: string;
                          ts: number;
                          value: number;
                      }[];
                      trend: | {
                          changePoints: {
                              direction: "UP"
                              | "DOWN";
                              magnitude: number;
                              ts: number;
                          }[];
                          ewmaNow: number;
                          intercept: number;
                          outlierCount: number;
                          robustSigma: number;
                          sampleSize: number;
                          slope: number;
                      }
                      | null;
                  },
              >,
          >;
          integrityIndex: {
              forecast: {
                  long: | { atTs: number; high: number; low: number; value: number }
                  | null;
                  mid: { atTs: number; high: number; low: number; value: number } | null;
                  short: { atTs: number; high: number; low: number; value: number } | null;
              };
              points: { runId?: string; trustTier?: string; ts: number; value: number }[];
              trend:
                  | {
                      changePoints: {
                          direction: "UP"
                          | "DOWN";
                          magnitude: number;
                          ts: number;
                      }[];
                      ewmaNow: number;
                      intercept: number;
                      outlierCount: number;
                      robustSigma: number;
                      sampleSize: number;
                      slope: number;
                  }
                  | null;
          };
          maturityOverall: {
              forecast: {
                  long: | { atTs: number; high: number; low: number; value: number }
                  | null;
                  mid: { atTs: number; high: number; low: number; value: number } | null;
                  short: { atTs: number; high: number; low: number; value: number } | null;
              };
              points: { runId?: string; trustTier?: string; ts: number; value: number }[];
              trend:
                  | {
                      changePoints: {
                          direction: "UP"
                          | "DOWN";
                          magnitude: number;
                          ts: number;
                      }[];
                      ewmaNow: number;
                      intercept: number;
                      outlierCount: number;
                      robustSigma: number;
                      sampleSize: number;
                      slope: number;
                  }
                  | null;
          };
          operating: Record<
              string,
              {
                  forecast: {
                      long: | { atTs: number; high: number; low: number; value: number }
                      | null;
                      mid: { atTs: number; high: number; low: number; value: number } | null;
                      short:
                          | { atTs: number; high: number; low: number; value: number }
                          | null;
                  };
                  points: {
                      runId?: string;
                      trustTier?: string;
                      ts: number;
                      value: number;
                  }[];
                  trend: | {
                      changePoints: {
                          direction: "UP"
                          | "DOWN";
                          magnitude: number;
                          ts: number;
                      }[];
                      ewmaNow: number;
                      intercept: number;
                      outlierCount: number;
                      robustSigma: number;
                      sampleSize: number;
                      slope: number;
                  }
                  | null;
              },
          >;
          value: Partial<
              Record<
                  | "EmotionalValue"
                  | "FunctionalValue"
                  | "EconomicValue"
                  | "BrandValue"
                  | "LifetimeValue",
                  {
                      forecast: {
                          long: | { atTs: number; high: number; low: number; value: number }
                          | null;
                          mid: { atTs: number; high: number; low: number; value: number } | null;
                          short:
                              | { atTs: number; high: number; low: number; value: number }
                              | null;
                      };
                      points: {
                          runId?: string;
                          trustTier?: string;
                          ts: number;
                          value: number;
                      }[];
                      trend: | {
                          changePoints: {
                              direction: "UP"
                              | "DOWN";
                              magnitude: number;
                              ts: number;
                          }[];
                          ewmaNow: number;
                          intercept: number;
                          outlierCount: number;
                          robustSigma: number;
                          sampleSize: number;
                          slope: number;
                      }
                      | null;
                  },
              >,
          >;
      };
      status: "INSUFFICIENT_EVIDENCE"
      | "OK";
      v: 1;
  }